Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-13 64.457339 72.986313 81.738385 91.358090 101.602706 112.156982 123.822439
2025-07-20 52.465701 64.798712 78.049672 93.211176 109.951465 127.754465 148.005820
2025-07-27 44.035092 58.280923 74.139666 92.825214 113.982150 136.964915 163.597249
2025-08-03 37.343460 52.787354 70.553993 92.038667 116.892971 144.370616 176.690669
2025-08-10 32.706172 49.116450 68.559032 92.602538 120.919749 152.676033 190.475322
2025-08-17 28.250063 45.176156 65.837289 91.952040 123.235690 158.786249 201.562215
2025-08-24 24.890416 42.269625 64.083111 92.202273 126.392755 165.691129 213.411204
2025-08-31 21.459780 38.923873 61.506073 91.213034 127.879518 170.499517 222.715471
2025-09-07 19.376665 37.202458 60.838138 92.450116 131.936848 178.240594 235.361469
2025-09-14 17.657327 35.822479 60.488012 93.984314 136.278542 186.264383 248.302405
2025-09-21 15.319532 33.306591 58.452757 93.226035 137.687332 190.708467 256.967778
2025-09-28 12.813344 30.262174 55.495814 91.105195 137.265179 192.846824 262.815935
2025-10-05 12.226601 30.225147 56.731933 94.536230 143.887542 203.603253 279.052697
2025-10-12 11.266977 29.481618 56.909261 96.524262 148.669292 212.126150 292.643541
2025-10-19 9.756129 27.632008 55.373404 96.114472 150.319999 216.767619 301.535672
2025-10-26 8.316261 25.721313 53.622682 95.314462 151.394569 220.646775 309.468736
2025-11-02 7.349661 24.556855 52.911914 95.889429 154.211478 226.655399 319.967000
2025-11-09 6.223600 22.919500 51.371299 95.225710 155.349062 230.533013 327.842850
2025-11-16 5.401171 21.771679 50.520216 95.481049 157.659347 235.852754 337.466492
2025-11-23 4.448326 20.171003 48.840142 94.471549 158.231264 238.945652 344.328867
2025-11-30 3.969157 19.566573 48.746772 95.733956 161.829502 245.857780 355.897274
2025-12-07 3.579670 19.113452 48.873474 97.299363 165.827041 253.276241 368.098600
2025-12-14 2.909356 17.799928 47.457692 96.525687 166.612795 256.574902 375.177705